Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 9.759820 11.288007 12.925985 14.806402 16.899462 19.151639 21.752119
2025-06-08 7.580562 9.521661 11.735711 14.428312 17.593676 21.175684 25.513595
2025-06-15 6.331619 8.527396 11.164929 14.525881 18.651104 23.504290 29.597031
2025-06-22 5.321576 7.639017 10.555609 14.428296 19.361853 25.360113 33.119392
2025-06-29 4.643675 7.059991 10.229797 14.592374 20.329827 27.501315 37.011813
2025-07-06 4.103066 6.581881 9.960564 14.764251 21.263822 29.588181 40.868664
2025-07-13 3.743257 6.303311 9.914301 15.197298 22.523750 32.105076 45.329057
2025-07-20 3.395320 5.994502 9.783870 15.480730 23.565983 34.346522 49.478570
2025-07-27 3.017780 5.592394 9.473727 15.469468 24.175152 36.004435 52.881421
2025-08-03 2.547609 4.984718 8.797722 14.865208 23.894288 36.412824 54.583601
2025-08-10 2.229785 4.586906 8.401637 14.635560 24.116516 37.495917 57.209300
2025-08-17 1.932097 4.185282 7.959818 14.295281 24.141325 38.279569 59.417780
2025-08-24 1.698536 3.871219 7.635112 14.116825 24.398725 39.405710 62.150435
2025-08-31 1.464218 3.523757 7.220543 13.759176 24.352705 40.074249 64.233107
2025-09-07 1.329856 3.352151 7.092175 13.855797 25.005598 41.778765 67.843105
2025-09-14 1.183330 3.135561 6.862887 13.762970 25.345299 43.015435 70.790700
2025-09-21 1.086221 3.009428 6.786081 13.921467 26.087338 44.872476 74.690872
2025-09-28 0.999563 2.894081 6.718207 14.087214 26.841087 46.761302 78.676258
2025-10-05 0.949436 2.854732 6.791529 14.504445 28.021363 49.335022 83.744937
2025-10-12 0.887587 2.779450 6.787115 14.777554 28.965490 51.560083 88.329194
2025-10-19 0.802956 2.636630 6.634530 14.766720 29.422578 53.024737 91.777877
2025-10-26 0.675964 2.365642 6.192913 14.184606 28.867213 52.854784 92.692856
2025-11-02 0.594146 2.197753 5.950919 13.963422 28.923465 53.657997 95.125864